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Pick: Cska Moscow (-9.5) Result: Pending Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.90 Bookmaker: Expekt vCash: No
Posted: Apr 01, 2008, 13:54
CSKA-Olympiakos
CSKA in top form now,all players are fit and ready..Best team in Europe IMO and very powerfull..In Moscow they are unbeatable..Oly on other side also not playing bad,but still its not a team who could surprise CSKA i think..team who have 12 equal players who can play on highest level..Gianakis released Jackson,great player,and its a mistake in my eyes,but we will see..Handicap looks too high,also will be underish game,so will be hard for some team to go on double digit,but its CSKA,specialist for those kind of situations..Oly dont have chance here in my opinion...
CSKA -9,5 @1,90 Expekt Stake:6/10
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Pick: Montepaschi Siena (-11.5) Result: Pending Stake: 9/10 Odds: 1.90 Bookmaker: Expekt vCash: No
Posted: Apr 01, 2008, 13:52
Montepaschi Siena-Fenerbahce
Now the real action starts..Fenerbahce and Partizan are 2 surprises of the season,and i dont give them big chance to advance,especially Fener chances are minimum IMO..They were in easiest group with Rytas and Aris and that is maybe the reason why they surprisingly got here..The team who depends a lot on Willie Solomon..But Siena at home mega power team,they beat all oponents very easy except best team in Europe atm CSKA..Their main weapon is defence,great defence,especially at home where they force their oponents in many turnovers..McIntyre vs Solomon,i think he can stop Willie and if you stop him Fener is helpless IMO..Siena is better in every position,better as a team,have home advantage,so all points to one-big win of home team..Bad thing is that diference dont counts but it doesnt matter,Siena is a team who force till last seconds,even when leads by 30 they play 100%,its probably best team in Europe when we talk about smashing weaker oponents,and very constant team regarding handicap bets..Estimation:15+
Siena -11,5 @1,90 Expekt Stake:9/10
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Pick: Over 2.5 Result: 1-0 Stake: 4/10 Odds: 1.95 Bookmaker: Globet vCash: No
Posted: Mar 29, 2008, 11:12
Sarajevo-Travnik
Bosnia league..Globet better limits so i post pick..Travnik without 6 players..Their coach is know as very ofensive and plays 4-3-3 in away games..Sarajevo now good form,playing very good and Travnik its a real oponent..I expect total domination of home team and easy win..3-0 or 4-0 should be the score...also pinnacle offer @2,05 and 10Bet @2,04 but small limits...
Over 2,5 @1,95 Globet Stake:4/10
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Pick: Under 144.5 Result: 89-88 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.85 Bookmaker: Unibet vCash: No
Posted: Mar 29, 2008, 10:21
Vichy-Le Havre
Very hard to set right line here,where most underish team of the league meets very overish team..Le Havre in away games run & gun team,especially lately they had some mega overs,but it was against teams who play similar style like Roanne and ASVEL..Vichy on this line all unders and Le Havre on this line all overs :D..But i decided to go with Vichy this time..Their first clash Vichy won 69-67,so under,and defence was the key for their win..Todays game is important IMO,cause still 8 rounds until play-offs and both teams fight to find place among those 8 clubs..My philosophy is that good defence should have advantage against good atacking teams(and Le Havre is for sure not some giant in euro Basket :) ) ,so Vichy who is favourite in this game should take total control and slow the match on their ussuall level of about 130-135 points..So my vote here goes for under...P.S. Bigest line in last 10 games for Vichy,ussually bookies set 139,5 on their games...
Under 144,5 @1,85 various Stake:6/10
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Pick: Over 159.5 Result: 60-64 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.85 Bookmaker: Expekt vCash: No
Posted: Mar 29, 2008, 10:19
Strasbourg-Dijon
I also like this pick..Strasbourg at home plays completely diferent style,and Dijon comes here in right time IMO for this pick..Both teams are pretty constant(if we look Strasbourg home games and Dijon away)..Line looks a bit too high but these 2 teams can go easily on 175-180..If we ignore Vichy,Clermont and some other underish teams than this pick has sense,cause in the clashes against them Strasbourg and Dijon had big unders,but on the other side against overish teams they went over 160 with ease..The style of both teams,last performances,and constant form during whole season makes this one as a very good bet..Over is my call,and estimation of about 165+ points..
Over 159,5 @1,85 Expekt Stake:6/10
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Pick: Olimpija (-5.5) Result: 88-60 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.85 Bookmaker: Expekt vCash: No
Posted: Mar 29, 2008, 10:17
Olimpija-Crvena Zvezda
ABA showed domination of home teams,except Cibona..The home factor is really big IMO,and the diference between the teams is not big,all are more or less equal(except Partizan maybe) and thats why home team wins..Olimpija played very good in first match in Belgrade,but thanks to Cook and Dragicevic Zvezda managed to win..They depend on 2 players,and that can be good at home,but in away games against teams like Olimpija is big disadvantage IMO...Olimpija solid team for years and in this moment much closer to win here..I expect double digit win..
Olimpija -5,5 @1,85 Expekt Stake:6/10
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Pick: Over 2.75 Result: 2-2 Stake: 4/10 Odds: 1.95 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No
Posted: Mar 28, 2008, 17:53
Medjimurje-Hajduk
Medjimurje last few games many overs,cause they are already relegated and play without preasure..Its a bad team with bad defence but at home can be dangerous and score some goals,especially cause Hajduk didnt impress during whole season..Hajduk last round beat Inter 7-2 and got self-coinfidence so now fully motivated goes to grab another win against poor Medjimurje..Medjimurje over also default bet for me until the end of season..
Over 2,75 @1,95 Pinnacle Stake:4/10
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Pick: Over 157.5 Result: 75-86 Stake: 7/10 Odds: 1.87 Bookmaker: BWin vCash: No
Posted: Mar 28, 2008, 14:12
ASVEL-Le Mans
ASVEL is close to become my favourite team:)..Default over in their home games for me..So far all wins,hope that continues..Many reasons for this bet IMO..Le Mans in last 4 games become wild,2 games almost 200 points and all easy overs..Asvel at home run & gun team,with average of 171 pts per game..Only once they played under this line,against Nancy..I see over here as a best option and should try with medium stake...
Over 157,5 @1,87 various stake:7/10
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Pick: Under 155.5 Result: 64-55 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.87 Bookmaker: 5dimes vCash: No
Posted: Mar 27, 2008, 14:05
Buducnost-Hemofarm
I like under here..First match 158 pts but Buducnost played bad defence..In Moraca always underish games,and i think Buducnost must show good defence and they are capable to win this game with their defence,and not alow Hemofarm to score easy points..THey lost some imp players but still good team,and with good fans who can help them to win this one..Also last 3 games were under except the last one where Hemo made big advantage and things got out of control..always risky to bet on under cause of last minutes so stake will be normal,medium...
Under 155,5 @1,87 5Dimes Stake:6/10
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Pick: Cibona ML Result: 93-100 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 2.38 Bookmaker: Pinnacle vCash: No
Posted: Mar 27, 2008, 14:00
Cibona-Partizan
I am maybe one of few guys who still trust Cibona..Odds are simply too high on them..Yes,they had awfull season,yes they have 0-5 in last 5 games with Partizan and -31 points diference in last 2 games,yes i have worst season regarding my picks on this team,but every run have his end,every bad streak ends sometimes..I think its right time..But still Cibona is one of the bigest ex-Yu clubs and every year must win trophies..To pass Partizan will be very hard..Both games they played good in Belgrade bud lost in last quarter,with some tragic minutes,but at home IMO that cant happen and they will do everything to beat their big rivals today..Partizan for years is crap in away games..Cibona must give 110% to win this,and IMO they have quality to do that in front of their fans..I give 55% for home team so odds represent some value...
Cibona ML @2,38 Pinnacle Stake:6/10
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Pick: Under 145.5 Result: 63-68 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 1.85 Bookmaker: Unibet vCash: No
Posted: Mar 26, 2008, 12:32
Turkey
Oyak-TED Ankara
One of my default bets..Oyak at home means under..Kollejiler is a team who adjust to their oponents and simply play their style...One of my analyses for Oyak,cause i dont want to repeat myself again:
2 very defensive minded teams...Last time when i bet Oyak under i lost cause of last minute and free throws where we saw 52 points in last quarter..Thats why always need to be cautious when betting on under..This time also that can happen,so stake will be normal 4/10..Oyak is very constant team and their games usually end on 140 pts or less..In Turkey when those teams from the bottom meet we see about 130 pts and big fight and ofcourse great defence and lack of atacking skills..Estimation:135-140 pts IMO..
Under 145,5 @1,85 Unibet Stake:6/10
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